The end of the Great Keynesian Experiment is upon us. Turd Ferguson and his band of loyal Turdites patrol this Watchtower. We are here to help each other navigate the coming economic chaos. However, no one can predict every eventuality, so please read the disclaimer and community guidelines before proceeding.

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                                  Wednesday, July 29, 2024 - 6:00pm
                                  77
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                                  We survived the fedlines as Chief Goon Powell confirmed again that The Fed will do whatever it takes for as long as it takes to keep the US economy afloat. As expected, however, there were no major policy change announcements. Those will come next time.

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                                  Pre-Fedline Open Thread

                                  It's going to be an interesting afternoon.

                                  Wednesday, July 29, 2024 - 10:37am
                                  By TF
                                  103
                                  13

                                  It's July FOMC Day. Expect the Fedlines at 2:00 pm ET and a CGP presser at 2:30 ET. To kill the time between now and then, here's an open thread to discuss the possible outcomes.

                                  Let's hope for the best and an extension of this great run that we're on. However, experience informs us to...

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                                  TFMR Podcast - Tuesday, July 28

                                  Tuesday, July 28, 2024 - 6:00pm
                                  97
                                  36

                                  What a crazy day! The Banks let us all know that the reports of their demise are somewhat premature. And now we await tomorrow's Fedlines and Powell presser.

                                  For today, just a recap of the interesting events of the past 24 hours and a reminder to check out this post from ZH when you...

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                                  What now, boss? A New Normal?

                                  Tuesday, July 28, 2024 - 9:00am
                                  By Doctor J
                                  92
                                  41

                                  As I was walking our doggie last evening, I passed by the neighbor’s place. They have a wrought iron gate and an Australian shepherd that loves to run out and say hello each day. I waited by the gate and while the dogs were chatting, the owner...

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                                  By TF
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                                  Another significant milestone has been reached.

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                                  What A Way To Start The Week

                                  And what a time to be in the PMs!

                                  Monday, July 27, 2024 - 9:49am
                                  By TF
                                  188
                                  36

                                  However, even with the new all-time highs in gold, it is just the start of another week...and it's going to be a long week with much more volatility (in both directions) than last week. So let's take a moment to celebrate the new ATHs but then let's get out collective heads screwed on straight...

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                                  Sunday, July 26, 2024 - 11:05pm
                                  By TF
                                  129
                                  66

                                  Sabbatical or no, this historic event deserves its own thread.

                                  It has been a long eight years...but here we are...with new ATHs in both front-month futures and spot XAU....

                                  TFMR Podcast - Saturday, July 25

                                  Saturday, July 25, 2024 - 11:40am
                                  190
                                  29

                                  What a great week we just had! Take a few minutes to celebrate. And then please be sure to listen to this podcast as the week ahead is certain to include volatility in both directions.

                                  Why? Not only for the slate of economic datapoints that includes Durable Goods and the first guess at...

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                                  What a fun week we've had!

                                  Friday, July 24, 2024 - 10:52am
                                  By TF
                                  121
                                  34

                                  逃离塔科夫锁区 延迟高被踢出怎么办?就用熊猫加速器:今天 · 这个时候熊猫加速器该上场了!显示真实延迟助您畅玩游戏! 1.登录熊猫加速器加速逃离塔科夫,选择全服(自动); 2.取消自动选择,选择路由模式1/2/3; 3.进入游戏可看到真实游戏延迟,再根据您的个人喜好选择服 …

                                  Of...

                                  TFMR Podcast - Thursday, July 23

                                  Thursday, July 23, 2024 - 5:04pm
                                  110
                                  21

                                  It was a solid day for Comex gold but not so much for Comex silver and the mining shares. So now we head into Friday and await the weekly close, confident that the early week gains have been sufficient to paint pretty green candles onto the charts.

                                  For today, more discussion of the...

                                  • Show More
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                                  Market Quotes by TradingView
                                  Key Economic Events Week of 8/3

                                  8/3 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI July
                                  8/3 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI July
                                  8/3 10:00 ET Construction Spending
                                  8/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders
                                  8/5 8:15 ET ADP employment July
                                  8/5 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
                                  8/5 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
                                  8/6 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
                                  8/7 8:30 ET BLSBS for July
                                  8/7 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 7/27

                                  7/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
                                  7/28 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
                                  7/29 8:30 ET Advance trade in goods
                                  7/29 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
                                  7/29 2:30 ET CGP presser
                                  7/30 8:30 ET Q2 GDP first guess
                                  7/31 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
                                  7/31 8:30 ET Core inflation
                                  7/31 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 7/20

                                  7/21 8:30 ET Chicago Fed
                                  7/21 2:00 ET Senate vote on Judy Shelton
                                  7/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
                                  7/23 8:30 ET Jobless claims
                                  7/23 10:00 ET Leading Economic Indicators
                                  7/24 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs for July

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 7/13

                                  7/13 11:30 ET Goon Williams speech
                                  7/13 1:00 ET Goon Kaplan speech
                                  7/14 8:30 ET CPI for June
                                  7/14 2:30 ET Goon Bullard speech
                                  7/15 8:30 ET Empire State and Import Price Idx
                                  7/15 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
                                  7/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales and Philly Fed
                                  7/16 11:00 ET Goon Williams again
                                  7/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Permits

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 7/6

                                  7/6 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
                                  7/6 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
                                  7/7 10:00 ET Job openings
                                  7/9 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
                                  7/9 10:00 ET Wholesale inventories
                                  7/10 8:30 ET PPI for June

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 6/29

                                  6/30 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
                                  6/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
                                  6/30 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
                                  6/30 12:30 ET CGP and SSHW to Capitol Hill
                                  7/1 8:15 ET ADP Employment
                                  7/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
                                  7/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
                                  7/1 2:00 ET June FOMC minutes
                                  7/2 8:30 ET BLSBS
                                  7/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 6/22

                                  6/22 8:30 ET Chicago Fed
                                  6/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
                                  6/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs for June
                                  6/23 10:00 ET New home sales
                                  6/25 8:30 ET Q1 GDP final guess
                                  6/25 8:30 ET Durable Goods
                                  6/26 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Spending
                                  6/26 8:30 ET Core inflation

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 6/15

                                  6/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
                                  6/16 8:30 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
                                  6/16 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell US Senate
                                  6/16 4:00 pm ET Goon Chlamydia speech
                                  6/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts
                                  6/17 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell US House
                                  6/18 8:30 ET Initial Jobless Claims
                                  6/18 8:30 ET Philly Fed
                                  6/19 8:30 ET Current Account Deficit
                                  6/19 1:00 pm ET CGP and Mester conference

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 6/8

                                  6/9 10:00 ET Job openings
                                  6/9 10:00 ET Wholesale inventories
                                  6/10 8:30 ET CPI for May
                                  6/10 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
                                  6/10 2:30 ET CGP presser
                                  6/11 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
                                  6/11 8:30 ET PPI for May
                                  6/12 8:30 ET Import price index
                                  6/12 10:00 ET Consumer sentiment

                                  Key Economic Events Week of 5/25

                                  5/26 8:30 ET Chicago Fed
                                  5/26 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
                                  5/27 2:00 ET Fed Beige Book
                                  5/28 8:30 ET Q2 GDP 2nd guess
                                  5/28 8:30 ET Durable Goods
                                  5/29 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Cons Spend
                                  5/29 8:30 ET Core Inflation
                                  5/29 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

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                                  I'm going with choice #3
                                  TFMR Podcast - Monday, August 3
                                  by TheFool, 45 min 42 sec ago
                                  @Tony, housing
                                  TFMR Podcast - Monday, August 3
                                  by boomer sooner, Aug 3, 2024 - 11:58pm
                                  Two choices
                                  TFMR Podcast - Monday, August 3
                                  by Turd Ferguson, Aug 3, 2024 - 11:50pm
                                  Trump may take action on that front
                                  TFMR Podcast - Monday, August 3
                                  by TheFool, Aug 3, 2024 - 11:50pm
                                  Quote from Turd
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                                  Aftermath Si
                                  AAGFF
                                  by seneca sam, Aug 3, 2024 - 1:38pm
                                  The Editors’ Quote of the Day
                                  THREAD OF FAITH -
                                  by sierra skier, Aug 2, 2024 - 1:58pm
                                  Correction
                                  Mining stocks in the next crash.
                                  by tkeeler01, Aug 1, 2024 - 7:15pm
                                  John MacArthur v. Gavin Newsom and the politics of fear
                                  THREAD OF FAITH -
                                  by DeaconBenjamin, Aug 1, 2024 - 7:15pm
                                  Tucker interviews Dershowitz
                                  Plotting the Course of The Zeitgeist
                                  by AGXIIK, Aug 1, 2024 - 2:01pm
                                  GRIST FOR THE GEIST. TRUMP WINS BY LANDSLIDE. WHY?
                                  Plotting the Course of The Zeitgeist
                                  by AGXIIK, Aug 1, 2024 - 1:46pm
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